BoJ 0.75% Liftoff: Gradual 3‑Year Normalization
- BoJ maintains a steady 25 bps hike cadence, reaching 1.25–1.5% by 2028 instead of stalling near 1%
- Core inflation remains near 2% through 2028 rather than falling back below target
- Yen appreciation is front‑loaded and persistent (10–15%) instead of a short‑lived spike
- Japan avoids recession despite tighter policy, with GDP holding near 0.7–1% annually
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