Crosscurrent: U.S. Takeover of Venezuelan Oil Flows
- Venezuelan oil infrastructure can be partially restored within 3 years despite severe degradation and above-ground risks
- U.S. control over Venezuelan oil sales and revenues persists long enough to shape global supply expectations
- OPEC+ does not fully offset incremental Venezuelan supply with production cuts
- Global oil demand growth remains positive but gradually slows, keeping the market finely balanced
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