Crosscurrent: Green Consensus Stabilizes at 1.8°C
- Warming limited to 1.8°C vs consensus 2.2-2.6°C under current policies
- Fossil fuels hold 35% energy share through 2040 vs faster decline to <20% in net-zero paths
- Global carbon markets fully operational by 2040 driving $50-80/ton pricing
- GDP growth steady at 2.5% despite 1-2% climate drag
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