Tailwind: Green Consensus Stabilizes at 1.8°C

Warming limited to 1.8°C via strengthened pledges, beating current 2.6°C policy baseline
Fossil fuels sustain 35% energy share through 2040, avoiding aggressive phase-out shocks
Global carbon markets scale by 2040 with $50-80/ton pricing, faster than fragmented rollout
GDP growth holds at 2.5% despite climate focus, via resilient investments and adaptation

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